3rd Division, Group 3 (Norway) · Sat, Oct 24 · 11:30 · Austevoll vs Stord
Likeliest: Austevoll win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Austevoll46%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Stord27%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 63% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Austevoll
LossWinWinWinDraw
- Oct 19 · at SK Brann II (A)1-1
- Oct 10 · v Førde (H)3-2
- Oct 3 · at Sogndal IL II (A)3-2
- Sep 26 · v Gneist (H)1-0
- Sep 19 · v Askøy FK (H)1-3
Stord
LossWinLossWinWin
- Oct 17 · v Gneist (H)5-2
- Oct 10 · at Varegg (A)3-2
- Oct 3 · v Vard Haugesund (H)1-2
- Sep 26 · at Fyllingsdalen (A)2-1
- Sep 17 · v Djerv 1919 (H)3-4
| Last 10 games | Austevoll | Stord |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-2 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 3.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 90% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-2 | 2-3-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.