2. Liga (Austria) · Sat, Aug 8 · 15:30 · Austria Salzburg vs First Vienna
Likeliest: Austria Salzburg win · 42%
A 42% home win. The market says 36%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Austria Salzburg42%36%+6
OursMarket
Draw27%27%0
OursMarket
First Vienna31%37%−6
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% | 49% | +4 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 54% | 0 |
| Double chance 1X | 69% | 63% | +6 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 64% | −6 |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | 73% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | 49% | +8 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Austria Salzburg
Win
- Aug 2 · at FC Hertha Wels (A)2-0
First Vienna
Win
- Aug 1 · v Sturm Graz II (H)4-0