UEFA Women's Champions League (Europe) · Sat, Aug 8 · 16:00 · Austria Wien vs FC Farul Constanta
Likeliest: Austria Wien win · 43%
A 26% draw. The market says 17%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Austria Wien43%74%−31
OursMarket
Draw26%17%+9
OursMarket
FC Farul Constanta32%10%+22
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 66% | +4 |
| Both teams score | 56% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 68% | 90% | −22 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 26% | +31 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 83% | −9 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 57% | 88% | −31 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Austria Wien
Win
- Aug 5 · v ŽNK Hajduk (H)3-2
FC Farul Constanta
Draw
- Aug 5 · at ŽNK Mura (A)1-1