Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Feb 22 · 20:05 · Auxerre vs Olympique Marseille
Likeliest: Olympique Marseille win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Auxerre37%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Olympique Marseille38%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 49% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Auxerre
LossDrawLossDrawDraw
- Feb 14 · at Brest (A)2-2
- Feb 9 · v Toulouse (H)2-2
- Feb 1 · at Monaco (A)2-4
- Jan 24 · v Saint-Étienne (H)1-1
- Jan 19 · at Angers SCO (A)0-2
Olympique Marseille
DrawLossWinWinWin
- Feb 15 · v Saint-Étienne (H)5-1
- Feb 9 · at Angers SCO (A)2-0
- Feb 2 · v Olympique Lyonnais (H)3-2
- Jan 26 · at Nice (A)0-2
- Jan 19 · v Strasbourg (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Auxerre | Olympique Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 0-4-3 | 5-1-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 2.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 71% | 71% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 14% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.