Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Mar 2 · 16:15 · Auxerre vs Strasbourg
Likeliest: Auxerre win · 37%
A tight one: we make it 37% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Auxerre37%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Strasbourg36%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 51% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Auxerre
DrawLossDrawDrawWin
- Feb 22 · v Olympique Marseille (H)3-0
- Feb 14 · at Brest (A)2-2
- Feb 9 · v Toulouse (H)2-2
- Feb 1 · at Monaco (A)2-4
- Jan 24 · v Saint-Étienne (H)1-1
Strasbourg
LossLossWinWinDraw
- Feb 23 · v Brest (H)0-0
- Feb 16 · at Lens (A)2-0
- Feb 9 · v Montpellier (H)2-0
- Feb 5 · v Angers SCO (H)1-3
- Feb 2 · at Rennes (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Auxerre | Strasbourg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-4-3 | 5-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 44% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 25% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.