USL League One (USA) · Sun, Oct 25 · 02:30 · AV Alta FC vs Corpus Christi FC
Likeliest: AV Alta FC win · 42%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
AV Alta FC42%——
OursMarket
Draw29%——
OursMarket
Corpus Christi FC30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 78% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.3 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
AV Alta FC
LossLossLossDrawLoss
- Oct 18 · at AC Boise (A)1-2
- Oct 11 · v Greenville Triumph SC (H)2-2
- Oct 3 · at Westchester SC (A)1-2
- Sep 19 · at Forward Madison FC (A)0-3
- Sep 13 · at Portland Hearts of Pine (A)0-1
Corpus Christi FC
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Oct 17 · at Richmond Kickers (A)1-5
- Oct 11 · v FC Naples (H)0-1
- Oct 8 · v Fort Wayne FC (H)1-3
- Oct 3 · at Chattanooga Red Wolves SC (A)0-3
- Sep 27 · v AC Boise (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | AV Alta FC | Corpus Christi FC |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-1-8 | 2-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-2 | 3-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.