FNL (Czech Republic) · Fri, Oct 16 · 13:00 · Baník Ostrava B vs SK Slavia Praha B
Likeliest: Baník Ostrava B win · 52%
We make it 52% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 34%.
18 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Baník Ostrava B52%55%−3
OursMarket
Draw24%23%+2
OursMarket
SK Slavia Praha B23%23%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 66% | −18 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 65% | −12 |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | 77% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | 45% | +3 |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | 77% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | 71% | −2 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Baník Ostrava B
Loss
- Oct 12 · at Dukla Praha (A)2-3
SK Slavia Praha B
Loss
- Oct 9 · v FC Sellier & Bellot Vlašim (H)0-2