Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 15 · 17:30 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München
Likeliest: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bayer 04 Leverkusen39%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
FC Bayern München34%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
LossDrawWinWinDraw
- Feb 8 · at VfL Wolfsburg (A)0-0
- Feb 2 · v TSG Hoffenheim (H)3-1
- Jan 29 · v Sparta Praha (H)2-0
- Jan 25 · at RB Leipzig (A)2-2
- Jan 21 · at Atlético Madrid (A)1-2
FC Bayern München
WinWinWinWinWin
- Feb 12 · at Celtic (A)2-1
- Feb 7 · v Werder Bremen (H)3-0
- Feb 1 · v Holstein Kiel (H)4-3
- Jan 29 · v Slovan Bratislava (H)3-1
- Jan 25 · at SC Freiburg (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | FC Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-1 | 8-0-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 2.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | 89% |
| Both teams scored | 63% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 38% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen form·FC Bayern München form·Head-to-head record