Champions League (Europe) · Tue, Mar 11 · 20:00 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs FC Bayern München
Likeliest: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win · 39%
A tight one: we make it 39% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bayer 04 Leverkusen39%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
FC Bayern München34%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
DrawWinWinLossLoss
- Mar 8 · v Werder Bremen (H)0-2
- Mar 5 · at FC Bayern München (A)0-3
- Mar 1 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)4-1
- Feb 22 · at Holstein Kiel (A)2-0
- Feb 15 · v FC Bayern München (H)0-0
FC Bayern München
DrawWinWinWinLoss
- Mar 8 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)2-3
- Mar 5 · v Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H)3-0
- Feb 28 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)3-1
- Feb 23 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)4-0
- Feb 18 · v Celtic (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | FC Bayern München |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-3-3 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 2.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-1-1 | 4-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.