Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Nov 8 · 14:30 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs Heidenheim
Likeliest: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bayer 04 Leverkusen51%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
Heidenheim28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
WinLossWinLossWin
- Nov 5 · at Benfica (A)1-0
- Nov 1 · at FC Bayern München (A)0-3
- Oct 26 · v SC Freiburg (H)2-0
- Oct 21 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)2-7
- Oct 18 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)4-3
Heidenheim
LossDrawLossLossDraw
- Nov 1 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)1-1
- Oct 28 · v Hamburger SV (H)0-1
- Oct 25 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)1-3
- Oct 18 · v Werder Bremen (H)2-2
- Oct 5 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 1-2-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.8 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 4-1-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen form·Heidenheim form·Head-to-head record