Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Feb 2 · 16:30 · Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs TSG Hoffenheim
Likeliest: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bayer 04 Leverkusen51%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
TSG Hoffenheim26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
WinWinLossDrawWin
- Jan 29 · v Sparta Praha (H)2-0
- Jan 25 · at RB Leipzig (A)2-2
- Jan 21 · at Atlético Madrid (A)1-2
- Jan 18 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)3-1
- Jan 14 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)1-0
TSG Hoffenheim
LossWinLossDrawWin
- Jan 30 · at Anderlecht (A)4-3
- Jan 26 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)2-2
- Jan 23 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)2-3
- Jan 18 · at Holstein Kiel (A)3-1
- Jan 15 · at FC Bayern München (A)0-5
| Last 10 games | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-1 | 2-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.0 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 2.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen form·TSG Hoffenheim form·Head-to-head record