League One (England) · Sat, Feb 15 · 15:00 · Birmingham City vs Charlton Athletic
Likeliest: Birmingham City win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Birmingham City41%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Charlton Athletic37%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 53% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Birmingham City
DrawWinWinLossWin
- Feb 11 · v Cambridge United (H)4-0
- Feb 8 · v Newcastle United (H)2-3
- Feb 1 · v Rotherham United (H)2-1
- Jan 28 · at Huddersfield Town (A)1-0
- Jan 23 · at Wrexham (A)1-1
Charlton Athletic
WinWinDrawWinWin
- Feb 11 · v Peterborough United (H)2-1
- Feb 8 · v Stevenage (H)2-0
- Feb 1 · at Blackpool (A)2-2
- Jan 28 · v Bristol Rovers (H)2-0
- Jan 25 · v Shrewsbury Town (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Birmingham City | Charlton Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-2-1 | 5-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 56% |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 44% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-0-1 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.