Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 1 · 15:00 · Birmingham City vs Portsmouth
Likeliest: Birmingham City win · 57%
A tight one: we make it 57% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Birmingham City57%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Portsmouth21%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 73% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Birmingham City
DrawDrawLossWinLoss
- Oct 25 · at Bristol City (A)0-1
- Oct 21 · at Preston North End (A)1-0
- Oct 18 · v Hull City (H)2-3
- Oct 3 · at Wrexham (A)1-1
- Sep 30 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)2-2
Portsmouth
DrawWinDrawLossLoss
- Oct 25 · v Stoke City (H)0-1
- Oct 21 · v Coventry City (H)1-2
- Oct 18 · at Leicester City (A)1-1
- Oct 4 · v Middlesbrough (H)1-0
- Oct 1 · v Watford (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | Birmingham City | Portsmouth |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-3-2 | 2-4-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.