Svenska Cupen (Sweden) · Wed, Sep 2 · 17:00 · BK Olympic vs Göteborg
Likeliest: BK Olympic win · 43%
A 29% draw. The market says 13%.
16 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
BK Olympic43%8%+35
OursMarket
Draw29%13%+16
OursMarket
Göteborg29%79%−50
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% | 71% | −23 |
| Both teams score | 45% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 21% | +50 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 92% | −34 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 87% | −16 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | 9% | +51 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
BK Olympic
No recent results tracked.
Göteborg
WinDrawLossDrawWin
- Aug 30 · v Örgryte IS (H)1-0
- Aug 23 · v IF Elfsborg (H)1-1
- Aug 16 · at Degerfors IF (A)0-3
- Aug 13 · at KAA Gent (A)1-1
- Aug 9 · v Kalmar (H)3-2
| Last 10 games | BK Olympic | Göteborg |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | — | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | — | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | — | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | — | 40% |
| Both teams scored | — | 50% |
| Clean sheets | — | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 3-2-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.