Championship (England) · Sat, Mar 15 · 15:00 · Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 40%
A tight one: we make it 40% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Blackburn Rovers40%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Cardiff City34%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 43% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 60% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 54% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blackburn Rovers
WinLossDrawLossLoss
- Mar 12 · at Stoke City (A)0-1
- Mar 8 · at Derby County (A)1-2
- Mar 1 · v Norwich City (H)1-1
- Feb 22 · at Swansea City (A)0-3
- Feb 15 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)2-0
Cardiff City
WinLossLossLossLoss
- Mar 11 · v Luton Town (H)1-2
- Mar 8 · at Sunderland (A)1-2
- Mar 4 · v Burnley (H)1-2
- Feb 28 · at Aston Villa (A)0-2
- Feb 25 · v Hull City (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Blackburn Rovers | Cardiff City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-6 | 2-2-6 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 0.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-3 | 1-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.