Championship (England) · Fri, Apr 17 · 19:00 · Blackburn Rovers vs Coventry City
Likeliest: Coventry City win · 39%
A 32% home win. The market says 25%.
6 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Blackburn Rovers32%25%+6
OursMarket
Draw29%29%0
OursMarket
Coventry City39%46%−7
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 41% | 46% | −5 |
| Both teams score | 43% | 51% | −8 |
| Double chance 1X | 61% | 54% | +7 |
| Double chance X2 | 69% | 75% | −6 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 71% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 45% | 35% | +9 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blackburn Rovers
DrawWinDrawDrawLoss
- Apr 14 · at Southampton (A)0-3
- Apr 11 · at Stoke City (A)1-1
- Apr 6 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)0-0
- Apr 3 · at Birmingham City (A)1-0
- Mar 21 · v Middlesbrough (H)0-0
Coventry City
LossWinWinDrawDraw
- Apr 11 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)0-0
- Apr 6 · at Hull City (A)0-0
- Apr 3 · v Derby County (H)3-2
- Mar 21 · at Swansea City (A)3-0
- Mar 14 · v Southampton (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Blackburn Rovers | Coventry City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-4 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 60% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-5-3 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Blackburn Rovers form·Coventry City form·Head-to-head record