Championship (England) · Sat, Nov 8 · 12:30 · Blackburn Rovers vs Derby County
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 36%
A tight one: we make it 36% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Blackburn Rovers36%——
OursMarket
Draw31%——
OursMarket
Derby County33%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 64% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 69% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blackburn Rovers
LossLossWinWinWin
- Nov 4 · at Bristol City (A)1-0
- Nov 1 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
- Oct 25 · v Southampton (H)2-1
- Oct 21 · v Sheffield United (H)1-3
- Oct 18 · at Coventry City (A)0-2
Derby County
LossWinWinWinWin
- Nov 4 · v Hull City (H)2-1
- Nov 1 · at Sheffield United (A)3-1
- Oct 25 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-0
- Oct 21 · v Norwich City (H)1-0
- Oct 18 · at Oxford United (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Blackburn Rovers | Derby County |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 5-3-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 4-3-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.