Championship (England) · Sat, Jan 31 · 15:00 · Blackburn Rovers vs Hull City
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 38%
We make it 56% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 46%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Blackburn Rovers38%39%0
OursMarket
Draw26%29%−2
OursMarket
Hull City36%33%+3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 46% | +10 |
| Both teams score | 56% | 52% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 67% | −3 |
| Double chance X2 | 62% | 61% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 71% | +2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 52% | 54% | −2 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blackburn Rovers
DrawDrawLossLossDraw
- Jan 24 · v Watford (H)1-1
- Jan 20 · at Swansea City (A)1-3
- Jan 17 · at Ipswich Town (A)0-3
- Jan 11 · at Hull City (A)0-0
- Jan 4 · v Charlton Athletic (H)2-2
Hull City
LossDrawWinWinWin
- Jan 24 · v Swansea City (H)2-1
- Jan 20 · at Preston North End (A)3-0
- Jan 17 · at Southampton (A)2-1
- Jan 11 · v Blackburn Rovers (H)0-0
- Jan 1 · v Stoke City (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | Blackburn Rovers | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 1-5-4 | 7-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-4-4 | 7-1-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.