Championship (England) · Sat, May 2 · 11:30 · Blackburn Rovers vs Leicester City
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 49%
A 49% home win. The market says 44%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Blackburn Rovers49%44%+5
OursMarket
Draw26%27%−1
OursMarket
Leicester City25%30%−4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 53% | −1 |
| Both teams score | 47% | 57% | −10 |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | 70% | +4 |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | 56% | −5 |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | 73% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | 60% | +6 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blackburn Rovers
DrawDrawLossDrawWin
- Apr 22 · at Sheffield United (A)3-1
- Apr 17 · v Coventry City (H)1-1
- Apr 14 · at Southampton (A)0-3
- Apr 11 · at Stoke City (A)1-1
- Apr 6 · v West Bromwich Albion (H)0-0
Leicester City
DrawLossLossDrawDraw
- Apr 24 · v Millwall (H)1-1
- Apr 21 · v Hull City (H)2-2
- Apr 18 · at Portsmouth (A)0-1
- Apr 11 · v Swansea City (H)0-1
- Apr 6 · at Sheffield Wednesday (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Blackburn Rovers | Leicester City |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-5-2 | 1-6-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 30% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-6-2 | 0-6-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Blackburn Rovers form·Leicester City form·Head-to-head record