Championship (England) · Tue, Dec 9 · 19:45 · Blackburn Rovers vs Oxford United
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 51%
We make it 62% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 54%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Blackburn Rovers51%53%−2
OursMarket
Draw28%26%+2
OursMarket
Oxford United21%20%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 46% | −8 |
| Double chance 1X | 79% | 80% | −1 |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | 47% | +2 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 74% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | 73% | −1 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blackburn Rovers
LossWinLossDrawDraw
- Dec 2 · v Ipswich Town (H)1-1
- Nov 29 · at Wrexham (A)1-1
- Nov 26 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)0-1
- Nov 21 · at Preston North End (A)2-1
- Nov 8 · v Derby County (H)1-2
Oxford United
LossDrawDrawWinLoss
- Dec 6 · at Swansea City (A)0-2
- Nov 28 · v Ipswich Town (H)2-1
- Nov 25 · at Norwich City (A)1-1
- Nov 22 · v Middlesbrough (H)1-1
- Nov 8 · at West Bromwich Albion (A)1-2
| Last 10 games | Blackburn Rovers | Oxford United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-2-7 | 2-2-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Blackburn Rovers form·Oxford United form·Head-to-head record