Championship (England) · Fri, Feb 20 · 20:00 · Blackburn Rovers vs Preston North End
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 46%
We make it 50% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 42%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Blackburn Rovers46%46%0
OursMarket
Draw25%29%−4
OursMarket
Preston North End29%25%+4
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 42% | +8 |
| Both teams score | 52% | 47% | +5 |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | 75% | −4 |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | 54% | 0 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 71% | +4 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | 65% | −4 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blackburn Rovers
DrawLossWinLossWin
- Feb 14 · at Queens Park Rangers (A)3-1
- Feb 7 · at Norwich City (A)0-2
- Feb 3 · v Sheffield Wednesday (H)1-0
- Jan 31 · v Hull City (H)0-1
- Jan 24 · v Watford (H)1-1
Preston North End
LossLossDrawWinDraw
- Feb 14 · v Watford (H)2-2
- Feb 7 · v Portsmouth (H)1-0
- Jan 31 · at Ipswich Town (A)1-1
- Jan 24 · at Middlesbrough (A)0-4
- Jan 20 · v Hull City (H)0-3
| Last 10 games | Blackburn Rovers | Preston North End |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 3-2-5 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-4-4 | 4-4-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Blackburn Rovers form·Preston North End form·Head-to-head record