Championship (England) · Wed, Nov 26 · 19:45 · Blackburn Rovers vs Queens Park Rangers
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 42%
We make it 62% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 53%.
8 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Blackburn Rovers42%41%+1
OursMarket
Draw30%28%+2
OursMarket
Queens Park Rangers28%30%−3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% | 47% | −8 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 70% | +3 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 59% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 70% | 72% | −2 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | 58% | +3 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blackburn Rovers
WinWinWinLossWin
- Nov 21 · at Preston North End (A)2-1
- Nov 8 · v Derby County (H)1-2
- Nov 4 · at Bristol City (A)1-0
- Nov 1 · at Leicester City (A)2-0
- Oct 25 · v Southampton (H)2-1
Queens Park Rangers
LossLossLossDrawWin
- Nov 22 · v Hull City (H)3-2
- Nov 8 · at Sheffield United (A)0-0
- Nov 5 · v Southampton (H)1-2
- Nov 1 · v Ipswich Town (H)1-4
- Oct 25 · at Derby County (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Blackburn Rovers | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-5 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-6 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Blackburn Rovers form·Queens Park Rangers form·Head-to-head record