Championship (England) · Sat, Aug 29 · 14:00 · Blackburn Rovers vs Queens Park Rangers
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 52%
We make it 66% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 47%.
20 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Blackburn Rovers52%41%+11
OursMarket
Draw25%29%−3
OursMarket
Queens Park Rangers22%30%−8
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 47% | +20 |
| Both teams score | 50% | 51% | −2 |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | 70% | +8 |
| Double chance X2 | 48% | 59% | −11 |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | 71% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | 58% | +12 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blackburn Rovers
LossWinDrawWinLoss
- Aug 25 · v Sheffield United (H)1-2
- Aug 22 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-1
- Aug 14 · at Wolverhampton (A)2-2
- Aug 8 · at Burton Albion (A)2-1
- May 2 · v Leicester City (H)0-1
Queens Park Rangers
LossLossDrawWinDraw
- Aug 22 · v Bolton Wanderers (H)0-0
- Aug 15 · at Portsmouth (A)3-1
- Aug 8 · v Millwall (H)1-1
- May 2 · at Ipswich Town (A)0-3
- Apr 25 · v Derby County (H)2-3
| Last 10 games | Blackburn Rovers | Queens Park Rangers |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 2-4-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 3-3-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Blackburn Rovers form·Queens Park Rangers form·Head-to-head record