EFL Cup (England) · Tue, Aug 25 · 18:45 · Blackburn Rovers vs Sheffield United
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 44%
We make it 61% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 51%.
10 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Blackburn Rovers44%35%+9
OursMarket
Draw28%28%−1
OursMarket
Sheffield United28%37%−9
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 49% | −10 |
| Both teams score | 46% | 55% | −8 |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | 63% | +8 |
| Double chance X2 | 56% | 65% | −9 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 72% | +1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 61% | 49% | +12 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blackburn Rovers
WinLossWinDrawWin
- Aug 22 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-1
- Aug 14 · at Wolverhampton (A)2-2
- Aug 8 · at Burton Albion (A)2-1
- May 2 · v Leicester City (H)0-1
- Apr 22 · at Sheffield United (A)3-1
Sheffield United
LossWinWinDrawDraw
- Aug 22 · at Swansea City (A)0-0
- Aug 15 · v Birmingham City (H)0-0
- Aug 9 · at Mansfield Town (A)3-0
- May 2 · at Derby County (A)2-1
- Apr 25 · v Preston North End (H)2-3
| Last 10 games | Blackburn Rovers | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-4-2 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 5-3-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.