Championship (England) · Tue, Sep 8 · 18:45 · Blackburn Rovers vs Sheffield United
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 42%
A 42% home win. The market says 31%.
11 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Blackburn Rovers42%31%+11
OursMarket
Draw29%27%+1
OursMarket
Sheffield United30%42%−13
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | 51% | 0 |
| Both teams score | 46% | 55% | −9 |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | 58% | +13 |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | 69% | −11 |
| Double chance 12 | 71% | 73% | −1 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | 42% | +16 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blackburn Rovers
WinLossLossDrawLoss
- Sep 5 · at Preston North End (A)1-2
- Sep 1 · at Lincoln City (A)0-0
- Aug 29 · v Queens Park Rangers (H)1-2
- Aug 25 · v Sheffield United (H)1-2
- Aug 22 · v Middlesbrough (H)2-1
Sheffield United
DrawWinDrawWinLoss
- Sep 5 · v Norwich City (H)1-3
- Sep 1 · v Bolton Wanderers (H)3-2
- Aug 29 · at Cardiff City (A)2-2
- Aug 25 · at Blackburn Rovers (A)2-1
- Aug 22 · at Swansea City (A)0-0
| Last 10 games | Blackburn Rovers | Sheffield United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 4-3-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 80% |
| Both teams scored | 80% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-4-4 | 5-3-2 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Blackburn Rovers form·Sheffield United form·Head-to-head record