Championship (England) · Mon, Apr 6 · 14:00 · Blackburn Rovers vs West Bromwich Albion
Likeliest: Blackburn Rovers win · 37%
We make it 49% for over 2.5 goals. The market says 42%.
7 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Blackburn Rovers37%35%+1
OursMarket
Draw28%30%−3
OursMarket
West Bromwich Albion36%34%+1
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% | 42% | +7 |
| Both teams score | 53% | 49% | +4 |
| Double chance 1X | 64% | 66% | −2 |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | 65% | −1 |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | 70% | +3 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 50% | 51% | 0 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blackburn Rovers
DrawLossWinDrawWin
- Apr 3 · at Birmingham City (A)1-0
- Mar 21 · v Middlesbrough (H)0-0
- Mar 14 · at Millwall (A)2-1
- Mar 11 · at Oxford United (A)0-1
- Mar 7 · v Portsmouth (H)1-1
West Bromwich Albion
DrawDrawWinWinDraw
- Apr 3 · v Wrexham (H)2-2
- Mar 21 · at Bristol City (A)1-0
- Mar 14 · v Hull City (H)3-0
- Mar 11 · v Southampton (H)1-1
- Mar 7 · at Sheffield United (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Blackburn Rovers | West Bromwich Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 2-5-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-4-3 | 1-4-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Blackburn Rovers form·West Bromwich Albion form·Head-to-head record