J2 League (Japan) · Sun, Oct 25 · 05:00 · Blaublitz Akita vs FC Imabari
Likeliest: Blaublitz Akita win · 49%
Likely score: 1–0
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Blaublitz Akita49%——
OursMarket
Draw26%——
OursMarket
FC Imabari25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | — | — |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 75% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
| Expected goals | 1.6 | 1.1 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blaublitz Akita
DrawDrawWinLossLoss
- Oct 17 · at Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo (A)0-1
- Oct 11 · at Iwaki FC (A)0-1
- Oct 4 · v Sagan Tosu (H)1-0
- Sep 26 · v Albirex Niigata (H)0-0
- Sep 19 · at Shonan Bellmare (A)1-1
FC Imabari
LossDrawWinWinDraw
- Oct 17 · v Vanraure Hachinohe (H)3-3
- Oct 10 · at Tokushima Vortis (A)2-1
- Oct 3 · at Tochigi City FC (A)2-1
- Sep 26 · v Shonan Bellmare (H)0-0
- Sep 23 · at Kashiwa Reysol (A)0-4
| Last 10 games | Blaublitz Akita | FC Imabari |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-3-4 | 3-3-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 20% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-3-2 | 2-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.