División Profesional (Bolivia) · Thu, Sep 17 · 00:30 · Blooming vs FC Universitario de Vinto
Likeliest: Blooming win · 65%
We make it 41% for under 2.5 goals. The market says 35%.
5 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Blooming65%62%+3
OursMarket
Draw21%21%0
OursMarket
FC Universitario de Vinto14%17%−3
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% | — | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 65% | −5 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% | — | — |
| Both teams score | 60% | 59% | +1 |
| Double chance 1X | 86% | 83% | +3 |
| Double chance X2 | 35% | 38% | −3 |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | 79% | 0 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 82% | 79% | +3 |
| Expected goals | 2.1 | 0.9 | H · A |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Blooming
WinDrawDrawLossWin
- Sep 12 · v Academia del Balompié Boliviano (H)6-1
- Sep 7 · at Nacional Potosí (A)1-2
- Aug 27 · v CDT Real Oruro (H)1-1
- Aug 23 · at Guabirá (A)1-1
- Aug 15 · v Club Aurora (H)3-0
FC Universitario de Vinto
LossLossWinLossWin
- Sep 13 · v Independiente Petrolero (H)3-1
- Sep 4 · at Academia del Balompié Boliviano (A)0-2
- Aug 25 · v Nacional Potosí (H)2-0
- Aug 21 · at The Strongest (A)3-4
- Aug 14 · v CD Real Tomayapo (H)0-1
| Last 10 games | Blooming | FC Universitario de Vinto |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-4-3 | 2-1-7 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-5-2 | 0-0-6 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.