Serie A (Italy) · Sun, Mar 2 · 14:00 · Bologna vs Cagliari
Likeliest: Bologna win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bologna50%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Cagliari24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bologna
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Feb 27 · v Milan (H)2-1
- Feb 22 · at Parma (A)0-2
- Feb 14 · v Torino (H)3-2
- Feb 9 · at Lecce (A)0-0
- Feb 4 · at Atalanta (A)1-0
Cagliari
LossLossWinDrawLoss
- Feb 23 · v Juventus (H)0-1
- Feb 15 · at Atalanta (A)0-0
- Feb 9 · v Parma (H)2-1
- Feb 3 · v Lazio (H)1-2
- Jan 24 · at Torino (A)0-2
| Last 10 games | Bologna | Cagliari |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-3-1 | 3-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 63% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 13% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-1-0 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.