Serie A (Italy) · Sat, Feb 1 · 19:45 · Bologna vs Como
Likeliest: Bologna win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bologna43%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Como29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 71% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bologna
DrawWinWinDrawDraw
- Jan 29 · at Sporting CP (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · at Empoli (A)1-1
- Jan 21 · v Borussia Dortmund (H)2-1
- Jan 18 · v Monza (H)3-1
- Jan 15 · at Inter (A)2-2
Como
DrawLossWinLoss
- Jan 25 · v Atalanta (H)1-2
- Jan 20 · v Udinese (H)4-1
- Jan 14 · v Milan (H)1-2
- Jan 10 · at Lazio (A)1-1
| Last 10 games | Bologna | Como |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-4-0 | — |
| Goals scored a game | 1.8 | — |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | — |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | — |
| Both teams scored | 100% | — |
| Clean sheets | 0% | — |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.