Serie A (Italy) · Fri, Feb 14 · 19:45 · Bologna vs Torino
Likeliest: Bologna win · 51%
A tight one: we make it 51% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bologna51%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Torino22%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 70% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bologna
DrawDrawWinWinDraw
- Feb 9 · at Lecce (A)0-0
- Feb 4 · at Atalanta (A)1-0
- Feb 1 · v Como (H)2-0
- Jan 29 · at Sporting CP (A)1-1
- Jan 25 · at Empoli (A)1-1
Torino
DrawDrawWinDrawDraw
- Feb 8 · v Genoa (H)1-1
- Feb 1 · at Atalanta (A)1-1
- Jan 24 · v Cagliari (H)2-0
- Jan 19 · at Fiorentina (A)1-1
- Jan 11 · v Juventus (H)1-1
| Last 10 games | Bologna | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-5-0 | 1-5-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 0.7 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 44% | 0% |
| Both teams scored | 67% | 67% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.