Serie A (Italy) · Wed, Oct 29 · 19:45 · Bologna vs Torino
Likeliest: Bologna win · 54%
A tight one: we make it 54% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Bologna54%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Torino22%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 78% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 77% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 71% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Bologna
DrawWinWinWinDraw
- Oct 26 · at Fiorentina (A)2-2
- Oct 23 · at FCSB (A)2-1
- Oct 19 · at Cagliari (A)2-0
- Oct 5 · v Pisa (H)4-0
- Oct 2 · v SC Freiburg (H)1-1
Torino
WinLossDrawWinWin
- Oct 26 · v Genoa (H)2-1
- Oct 18 · v Napoli (H)1-0
- Oct 5 · at Lazio (A)3-3
- Sep 29 · at Parma (A)1-2
- Sep 25 · v Pisa (H)1-0
| Last 10 games | Bologna | Torino |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-3-2 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 0.9 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 6-3-1 | 2-3-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.