Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 22 · 17:30 · Borussia Dortmund vs FC Union Berlin
Likeliest: Borussia Dortmund win · 52%
A tight one: we make it 52% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Borussia Dortmund52%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
FC Union Berlin24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 47% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 69% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Borussia Dortmund
WinLossWinLossDraw
- Feb 19 · v Sporting CP (H)0-0
- Feb 15 · at VfL Bochum 1848 (A)0-2
- Feb 11 · at Sporting CP (A)3-0
- Feb 8 · v VfB Stuttgart (H)1-2
- Feb 1 · at Heidenheim (A)2-1
FC Union Berlin
WinLossDrawWinLoss
- Feb 15 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)1-2
- Feb 8 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)4-0
- Feb 1 · v RB Leipzig (H)0-0
- Jan 26 · at St. Pauli (A)0-3
- Jan 19 · v FSV Mainz 05 (H)2-1
| Last 10 games | Borussia Dortmund | FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-2-5 | 2-1-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 57% |
| Both teams scored | 60% | 29% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 29% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 1-2-2 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Borussia Dortmund form·FC Union Berlin form·Head-to-head record