Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 8 · 14:30 · Borussia Dortmund vs VfB Stuttgart
Likeliest: Borussia Dortmund win · 53%
A tight one: we make it 53% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Borussia Dortmund53%——
OursMarket
Draw21%——
OursMarket
VfB Stuttgart25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 46% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 78% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Borussia Dortmund
LossLossDrawWinWin
- Feb 1 · at Heidenheim (A)2-1
- Jan 29 · v Shakhtar Donetsk (H)3-1
- Jan 25 · v Werder Bremen (H)2-2
- Jan 21 · at Bologna (A)1-2
- Jan 17 · at Eintracht Frankfurt (A)0-2
VfB Stuttgart
WinLossLossLossWin
- Feb 4 · v FC Augsburg (H)1-0
- Feb 1 · v Borussia Mönchengladbach (H)1-2
- Jan 29 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)1-4
- Jan 25 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)0-2
- Jan 21 · at Slovan Bratislava (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | Borussia Dortmund | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-1-4 | 5-0-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.1 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% | 63% |
| Both teams scored | 86% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 38% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Borussia Dortmund form·VfB Stuttgart form·Head-to-head record