Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Feb 22 · 14:30 · Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Augsburg

    Likeliest: Borussia Mönchengladbach win · 48%

    A tight one: we make it 48% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Borussia Mönchengladbach48%——
    OursMarket
    Draw25%——
    OursMarket
    FC Augsburg26%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals55%——
    Double chance 1X74%——
    Double chance X252%——
    Double chance 1275%——
    Draw no bet (home)65%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Borussia Mönchengladbach
    LossWinWinDrawWin
    • Feb 15 · at FC Union Berlin (A)2-1
    • Feb 8 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)1-1
    • Feb 1 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)2-1
    • Jan 25 · v VfL Bochum 1848 (H)3-0
    • Jan 18 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)1-3
    FC Augsburg
    WinDrawLossDrawDraw
    • Feb 14 · v RB Leipzig (H)0-0
    • Feb 8 · at FSV Mainz 05 (A)0-0
    • Feb 4 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)0-1
    • Feb 1 · at St. Pauli (A)1-1
    • Jan 25 · v Heidenheim (H)2-1
    Last 10 gamesBorussia MönchengladbachFC Augsburg
    Won-drawn-lost3-1-33-3-2
    Goals scored a game1.40.9
    Goals conceded a game1.70.5
    Over 2.5 goals71%13%
    Both teams scored71%25%
    Clean sheets14%50%
    Last 10 at this venue—2-2-1

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    Borussia Mönchengladbach form·FC Augsburg form·Head-to-head record

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