Bundesliga (Germany) · Sat, Nov 8 · 17:30 · Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FC Köln

    Likeliest: Borussia Mönchengladbach win · 42%

    A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Borussia Mönchengladbach42%——
    OursMarket
    Draw26%——
    OursMarket
    FC Köln32%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals52%——
    Double chance 1X68%——
    Double chance X258%——
    Double chance 1274%——
    Draw no bet (home)56%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Borussia Mönchengladbach
    DrawLossLossWinWin
    • Nov 1 · at St. Pauli (A)4-0
    • Oct 28 · v Karlsruher SC (H)3-1
    • Oct 25 · v FC Bayern München (H)0-3
    • Oct 17 · at FC Union Berlin (A)1-3
    • Oct 5 · v SC Freiburg (H)0-0
    FC Köln
    WinDrawLossLossWin
    • Nov 2 · v Hamburger SV (H)4-1
    • Oct 29 · v FC Bayern München (H)1-4
    • Oct 25 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)0-1
    • Oct 18 · v FC Augsburg (H)1-1
    • Oct 3 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)1-0
    Last 10 gamesBorussia MönchengladbachFC Köln
    Won-drawn-lost2-3-54-2-4
    Goals scored a game1.31.7
    Goals conceded a game1.91.6
    Over 2.5 goals60%60%
    Both teams scored40%70%
    Clean sheets30%20%
    Last 10 at this venue2-3-55-2-3

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    Borussia Mönchengladbach form·FC Köln form·Head-to-head record

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