Bundesliga (Germany) · Fri, Mar 7 · 19:30 · Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05
Likeliest: Borussia Mönchengladbach win · 42%
A tight one: we make it 42% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Borussia Mönchengladbach42%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
FSV Mainz 0533%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 67% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 58% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 56% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Borussia Mönchengladbach
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Mar 1 · at Heidenheim (A)3-0
- Feb 22 · v FC Augsburg (H)0-3
- Feb 15 · at FC Union Berlin (A)2-1
- Feb 8 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)1-1
- Feb 1 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)2-1
FSV Mainz 05
LossDrawWinWinWin
- Mar 1 · at RB Leipzig (A)2-1
- Feb 22 · v St. Pauli (H)2-0
- Feb 16 · at Heidenheim (A)2-0
- Feb 8 · v FC Augsburg (H)0-0
- Jan 31 · at Werder Bremen (A)0-1
| Last 10 games | Borussia Mönchengladbach | FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-4 | 5-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 0.6 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 78% | 22% |
| Both teams scored | 56% | 22% |
| Clean sheets | 22% | 56% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | 2-0-3 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Borussia Mönchengladbach form·FSV Mainz 05 form·Head-to-head record