Bundesliga (Germany) · Sun, Jan 25 · 14:30 · Borussia Mönchengladbach vs VfB Stuttgart
Likeliest: VfB Stuttgart win · 52%
A 52% away win. The market says 43%.
9 points apart — enough for us to flag it. Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night.
Who wins
Borussia Mönchengladbach27%31%−4
OursMarket
Draw21%26%−5
OursMarket
VfB Stuttgart52%43%+9
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 66% | 61% | +6 |
| Both teams score | 67% | 64% | +3 |
| Double chance 1X | 48% | 57% | −9 |
| Double chance X2 | 73% | 69% | +4 |
| Double chance 12 | 79% | 74% | +5 |
| Draw no bet (home) | 34% | 42% | −8 |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Borussia Mönchengladbach
LossLossWinLossDraw
- Jan 17 · at Hamburger SV (A)0-0
- Jan 14 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)1-5
- Jan 11 · v FC Augsburg (H)4-0
- Dec 19 · at Borussia Dortmund (A)0-2
- Dec 13 · v VfL Wolfsburg (H)1-3
VfB Stuttgart
DrawWinWinDrawLoss
- Jan 22 · at Roma (A)0-2
- Jan 18 · v FC Union Berlin (H)1-1
- Jan 13 · v Eintracht Frankfurt (H)3-2
- Jan 10 · at Bayer 04 Leverkusen (A)4-1
- Dec 20 · v TSG Hoffenheim (H)0-0
| Last 10 games | Borussia Mönchengladbach | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-2-4 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.9 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-2-5 | 5-1-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Borussia Mönchengladbach form·VfB Stuttgart form·Head-to-head record