Premier League (England) · Wed, Feb 26 · 19:30 · Brentford vs Everton
Likeliest: Brentford win · 49%
A tight one: we make it 49% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Brentford49%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Everton24%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 76% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 51% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 67% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Brentford
LossWinLossWinWin
- Feb 21 · at Leicester City (A)4-0
- Feb 15 · at West Ham United (A)1-0
- Feb 2 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)0-2
- Jan 26 · at Crystal Palace (A)2-1
- Jan 18 · v Liverpool (H)0-2
Everton
WinLossDrawWinDraw
- Feb 22 · v Manchester United (H)2-2
- Feb 15 · at Crystal Palace (A)2-1
- Feb 12 · v Liverpool (H)2-2
- Feb 8 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)0-2
- Feb 1 · v Leicester City (H)4-0
| Last 10 games | Brentford | Everton |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-4 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 30% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 0-1-4 | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.