Premier League (England) · Sat, Jan 18 · 15:00 · Brentford vs Liverpool
Likeliest: Brentford win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Brentford50%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Liverpool25%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 74% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 49% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 66% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Brentford
LossWinLossDraw
- Jan 14 · v Manchester City (H)2-2
- Jan 11 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)0-1
- Jan 4 · at Southampton (A)5-0
- Jan 1 · v Arsenal (H)1-3
Liverpool
DrawLossWinDraw
- Jan 14 · at Nottingham Forest (A)1-1
- Jan 11 · v Accrington Stanley (H)4-0
- Jan 8 · at Tottenham Hotspur (A)0-1
- Jan 5 · v Manchester United (H)2-2