Premier League (England) · Tue, Jan 14 · 19:30 · Brentford vs Manchester City
Likeliest: Brentford win · 47%
A tight one: we make it 47% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Brentford47%——
OursMarket
Draw23%——
OursMarket
Manchester City29%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Brentford
LossWinLoss
- Jan 11 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)0-1
- Jan 4 · at Southampton (A)5-0
- Jan 1 · v Arsenal (H)1-3
Manchester City
WinWin
- Jan 11 · v Salford City (H)8-0
- Jan 4 · v West Ham United (H)4-1