Premier League (England) · Sun, Feb 2 · 14:00 · Brentford vs Tottenham Hotspur

    Likeliest: Brentford win · 43%

    A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.

    Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.

    Who wins
    Brentford43%——
    OursMarket
    Draw27%——
    OursMarket
    Tottenham Hotspur30%——
    OursMarket

    Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.

    Goalsours · market · gap
    MarketOursMarketGap
    Over 2.5 goals55%——
    Double chance 1X70%——
    Double chance X257%——
    Double chance 1273%——
    Draw no bet (home)59%——

    Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.

    Form
    Brentford
    WinLossDrawLossWin
    • Jan 26 · at Crystal Palace (A)2-1
    • Jan 18 · v Liverpool (H)0-2
    • Jan 14 · v Manchester City (H)2-2
    • Jan 11 · v Plymouth Argyle (H)0-1
    • Jan 4 · at Southampton (A)5-0
    Tottenham Hotspur
    LossLossWinLossWin
    • Jan 30 · v Elfsborg (H)3-0
    • Jan 26 · v Leicester City (H)1-2
    • Jan 23 · at TSG Hoffenheim (A)3-2
    • Jan 19 · at Everton (A)2-3
    • Jan 15 · at Arsenal (A)1-2
    Last 10 gamesBrentfordTottenham Hotspur
    Won-drawn-lost2-1-33-0-4
    Goals scored a game1.71.7
    Goals conceded a game1.51.6
    Over 2.5 goals67%86%
    Both teams scored50%71%
    Clean sheets17%29%
    Last 10 at this venue——

    Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.

    Brentford form·Tottenham Hotspur form·Head-to-head record

    Every match we have priced today