Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Mar 9 · 14:00 · Brest vs Angers SCO
Likeliest: Brest win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Brest50%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Angers SCO23%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 77% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 73% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 68% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Brest
DrawLossDrawLossLoss
- Mar 2 · at Olympique Lyonnais (A)1-2
- Feb 26 · v Dunkerque (H)2-3
- Feb 23 · at Strasbourg (A)0-0
- Feb 19 · at Paris Saint Germain (A)0-7
- Feb 14 · v Auxerre (H)2-2
Angers SCO
WinLossWinDrawLoss
- Mar 2 · v Toulouse (H)0-4
- Feb 22 · at Saint-Étienne (A)3-3
- Feb 16 · at Reims (A)1-0
- Feb 9 · v Olympique Marseille (H)0-2
- Feb 5 · at Strasbourg (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | Brest | Angers SCO |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-2-6 | 5-2-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.1 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 2-1-4 | 4-1-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.