Ligue 1 (France) · Sun, Nov 2 · 19:45 · Brest vs Olympique Lyonnais
Likeliest: Olympique Lyonnais win · 38%
A tight one: we make it 38% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Brest34%——
OursMarket
Draw28%——
OursMarket
Olympique Lyonnais38%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 62% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 66% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 72% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 48% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Brest
WinDrawDrawLossLoss
- Oct 29 · at Le Havre (A)0-1
- Oct 25 · v Paris Saint Germain (H)0-3
- Oct 19 · at Lorient (A)3-3
- Oct 4 · v Nantes (H)0-0
- Sep 28 · at Angers SCO (A)2-0
Olympique Lyonnais
LossLossWinWinDraw
- Oct 29 · at Paris (A)3-3
- Oct 26 · v Strasbourg (H)2-1
- Oct 23 · v Basel (H)2-0
- Oct 18 · at Nice (A)2-3
- Oct 5 · v Toulouse (H)1-2
| Last 10 games | Brest | Olympique Lyonnais |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 2-3-5 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 50% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 4-3-3 | 4-1-5 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.