Ligue 1 (France) · Sat, Feb 1 · 16:00 · Brest vs Paris Saint Germain
Likeliest: Paris Saint Germain win · 41%
A tight one: we make it 41% for the away win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Brest35%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Paris Saint Germain41%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 57% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 46% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Brest
WinWinLossWinLoss
- Jan 29 · v Real Madrid (H)0-3
- Jan 26 · at Le Havre (A)1-0
- Jan 22 · at Shakhtar Donetsk (A)0-2
- Jan 18 · at Rennes (A)2-1
- Jan 15 · v Nantes (H)2-1
Paris Saint Germain
WinWinWinDrawWin
- Jan 29 · at VfB Stuttgart (A)4-1
- Jan 25 · v Reims (H)1-1
- Jan 22 · v Manchester City (H)4-2
- Jan 18 · at Lens (A)2-1
- Jan 15 · at Espaly-Saint-Marcel (A)4-2
| Last 10 games | Brest | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-0-3 | 5-1-0 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 100% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 0% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.