Premier League (England) · Tue, Feb 25 · 19:30 · Brighton & Hove Albion vs AFC Bournemouth
Likeliest: Brighton & Hove Albion win · 45%
A tight one: we make it 45% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Brighton & Hove Albion45%——
OursMarket
Draw25%——
OursMarket
AFC Bournemouth30%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 70% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 55% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 60% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Brighton & Hove Albion
LossLossWinWinWin
- Feb 22 · at Southampton (A)4-0
- Feb 14 · v Chelsea (H)3-0
- Feb 8 · v Chelsea (H)2-1
- Feb 1 · at Nottingham Forest (A)0-7
- Jan 25 · v Everton (H)0-1
AFC Bournemouth
WinLossWinWinLoss
- Feb 22 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)0-1
- Feb 15 · at Southampton (A)3-1
- Feb 8 · at Everton (A)2-0
- Feb 1 · v Liverpool (H)0-2
- Jan 25 · v Nottingham Forest (H)5-0
| Last 10 games | Brighton & Hove Albion | AFC Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 6-1-2 | 6-1-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 0.9 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 56% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 44% |
| Clean sheets | 44% | 33% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Brighton & Hove Albion form·AFC Bournemouth form·Head-to-head record