FA Cup (England) · Sat, Feb 8 · 20:00 · Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea
Likeliest: Brighton & Hove Albion win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Brighton & Hove Albion43%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Chelsea31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Brighton & Hove Albion
WinWinWinLossLoss
- Feb 1 · at Nottingham Forest (A)0-7
- Jan 25 · v Everton (H)0-1
- Jan 19 · at Manchester United (A)3-1
- Jan 16 · at Ipswich Town (A)2-0
- Jan 11 · at Norwich City (A)4-0
Chelsea
WinDrawWinLossWin
- Feb 3 · v West Ham United (H)2-1
- Jan 25 · at Manchester City (A)1-3
- Jan 20 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)3-1
- Jan 14 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)2-2
- Jan 11 · v Morecambe (H)5-0
| Last 10 games | Brighton & Hove Albion | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-1-2 | 3-2-1 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 83% |
| Both teams scored | 33% | 83% |
| Clean sheets | 33% | 17% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.