Premier League (England) · Fri, Feb 14 · 20:00 · Brighton & Hove Albion vs Chelsea
Likeliest: Brighton & Hove Albion win · 43%
A tight one: we make it 43% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Brighton & Hove Albion43%——
OursMarket
Draw22%——
OursMarket
Chelsea31%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 65% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 53% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 75% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 58% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Brighton & Hove Albion
WinWinLossLossWin
- Feb 8 · v Chelsea (H)2-1
- Feb 1 · at Nottingham Forest (A)0-7
- Jan 25 · v Everton (H)0-1
- Jan 19 · at Manchester United (A)3-1
- Jan 16 · at Ipswich Town (A)2-0
Chelsea
DrawWinLossWinLoss
- Feb 8 · at Brighton & Hove Albion (A)1-2
- Feb 3 · v West Ham United (H)2-1
- Jan 25 · at Manchester City (A)1-3
- Jan 20 · v Wolverhampton Wanderers (H)3-1
- Jan 14 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)2-2
| Last 10 games | Brighton & Hove Albion | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 4-1-2 | 3-2-2 |
| Goals scored a game | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 86% |
| Both teams scored | 43% | 86% |
| Clean sheets | 29% | 14% |
| Last 10 at this venue | — | — |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Brighton & Hove Albion form·Chelsea form·Head-to-head record