Premier League (England) · Sat, Mar 8 · 15:00 · Brighton & Hove Albion vs Fulham
Likeliest: Brighton & Hove Albion win · 50%
A tight one: we make it 50% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Brighton & Hove Albion50%——
OursMarket
Draw24%——
OursMarket
Fulham26%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 73% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 50% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 76% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 65% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Brighton & Hove Albion
LossWinWinWinWin
- Feb 25 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)2-1
- Feb 22 · at Southampton (A)4-0
- Feb 14 · v Chelsea (H)3-0
- Feb 8 · v Chelsea (H)2-1
- Feb 1 · at Nottingham Forest (A)0-7
Fulham
WinWinWinLossWin
- Feb 25 · at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)2-1
- Feb 22 · v Crystal Palace (H)0-2
- Feb 15 · v Nottingham Forest (H)2-1
- Feb 8 · at Wigan Athletic (A)2-1
- Feb 1 · at Newcastle United (A)2-1
| Last 10 games | Brighton & Hove Albion | Fulham |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 7-1-2 | 6-1-3 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.1 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams scored | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 3-1-1 | 4-0-1 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.