Premier League (England) · Sat, Nov 1 · 15:00 · Brighton & Hove Albion vs Leeds United
Likeliest: Brighton & Hove Albion win · 46%
A tight one: we make it 46% for the home win. No bookmaker price yet to compare it against.
Our numbers are graded against the closing line every night, priced or not.
Who wins
Brighton & Hove Albion46%——
OursMarket
Draw27%——
OursMarket
Leeds United28%——
OursMarket
Purple means we differ from the market by 4 points or more. Market = bookmakers' prices with the margin removed.
| Market | Ours | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance 1X | 72% | — | — |
| Double chance X2 | 54% | — | — |
| Double chance 12 | 74% | — | — |
| Draw no bet (home) | 62% | — | — |
Double chance and draw no bet are the win, draw and loss numbers added up, not separate models. A line nobody has priced shows “—”.
Form
Brighton & Hove Albion
WinDrawWinLossLoss
- Oct 29 · at Arsenal (A)0-2
- Oct 25 · at Manchester United (A)2-4
- Oct 18 · v Newcastle United (H)2-1
- Oct 5 · at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)1-1
- Sep 27 · at Chelsea (A)3-1
Leeds United
WinDrawLossLossWin
- Oct 24 · v West Ham United (H)2-1
- Oct 18 · at Burnley (A)0-2
- Oct 4 · v Tottenham Hotspur (H)1-2
- Sep 27 · v AFC Bournemouth (H)2-2
- Sep 20 · at Wolverhampton Wanderers (A)3-1
| Last 10 games | Brighton & Hove Albion | Leeds United |
|---|---|---|
| Won-drawn-lost | 5-2-3 | 4-2-4 |
| Goals scored a game | 2.5 | 1.1 |
| Goals conceded a game | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams scored | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Last 10 at this venue | 5-4-1 | 4-2-4 |
Counted from their results in all competitions, not modelled. Our probability for this match is at the top of the page.
Brighton & Hove Albion form·Leeds United form·Head-to-head record